Past Picks

1* Free Pick

Seattle vs. Atlanta, 01/14/2017 16:35 EDT

Point Spread: +4½/-110 Seattle

Sportsbook:

This is a 1* Free Play on the Seattle Seahawks

After initial money poured in on the Falcons and pushed this line from -3.5 to -5, late steam has pushed this spread back down to -4/ -4.5. I like Seattle in this spot for numerous reasons. Seattle is the more experienced team as far as the playoffs are concerned. This game is played in a dome, where I feel the Seahawks are better suited when playing on the road.

Seattle comes into this game having outgained their last 6 opponents. There is a good possibility that running back C.J. Prosise plays here and Rawls is healthy also. This 1-2 combination could be huge to go along with Russell Wilson who is also 100% and can be effective outside of the pocket. C.J. Prosise had come on strong in 2 games in November before getting injured. He was huge for them out of the backfield as a receiver in a 31-24 victory at New England.

The ‘Over’ is 8-0 in Seattle’s last 8 Playoff games when they have been an underdog and they are averaging about 28 ppg in these 8 games which gives me confidence they put up a big number here. While the Falcons have the NFL’s highest scoring offense, they continue to be a bad bet when laying points at home. They are 0-2 ATS in their 2 most recent Playoff games as a favorite, in 2013 and 2011.

Going back to the 2013-14 season, the Falcons are 6-16 ATS as a home favorite. As a home favorite of 5 points or less, they are 1-10 ATS their last 11. The Seahawks are 5-0 ATS their L5 games as a road dog of more than 3.5 points.

Looking at the officiating crew for this game, Gene Steratore’s crew called the NFL’s lowest combined total of defensive-holding, illegal-contact and defensive-pass-interference penalties (22 in 15 games). This could be an edge for the Seahawks with Sherman and company allowed to be more physical against Julio Jones and the Falcons receivers.

All 4 favorites covered last week. Do they all cover this week? That’s highly unlikely and there is a far higher probability of the underdogs cashing as the public is lining up once again laying the chalk. I am following the late steam here on the Seahawks. (1* Seattle)

Tony's *5 afc playoff free pick

Houston vs. New England, 01/14/2017 20:15 EDT

Total: -100/+44½ Under

Sportsbook:

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Fp: patriots own the #1 scoring defense in the nfl and Texans #1 overall combined with nasty weather 45 points to beat us will be a lot making the under my nfl playoff free pick

Tony's *5 nfl playoff free play

Green Bay vs. Dallas, 01/15/2017 16:40 EDT

Total: -110/+52 Under

Sportsbook:

My *10 afc & nfc playoff power picks on sale under the top selling plays or premium picks tab . Only $24.99 each get one or get them both and break you're bookie 2xs over with my nfl playoff power picks !!

Offense wins games defense wins championships both teams no it's win or no tomorrow so both defense will be on high few injuries at skill positions for both squads don't think we see to many points making the under my nfl free pick !!

AAA Sports' FREE PLAY

Green Bay vs. Dallas, 01/15/2017 16:40 EDT

Total: -105/+52 Over

Sportsbook:

1* Free Play OVER Packers/Cowboys.

Dallas is good defensively, but if the unit has had one weakness, it’s been its performance against the pass. And that could spell trouble in facing the Packers’ red hot Aaron Rodgers, who has 40 TD’s compared to just seven INT’s this season. The Cowboys beat the Packers 30-16 at Lambeau Field in week six. Dak Prescott threw three touchdowns and one interception, while Rodgers threw for 294 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Note though that Green Bay has seen the total go OVER the number in six of eight on the road this season and in five of six after two or more consecutive SU wins, while Dallas has seen the total go OVER in four of five as a home fav of 3.5 to seven points. Consider a second look at the OVER in this one.

AAA Sports

FREE NFL Playoff Action from Tony George

Pittsburgh vs. Kansas City, 01/15/2017 20:20 EDT

Point Spread: -1/-115 Kansas City

Sportsbook:

NFL Sunday AFC Divisional Free Play


Courtesy of Tony George Sports

Pittsburgh @ Chiefs


The ice storm is hitting Kansas City on Saturday and Sunday (I know because I live here) and this game was moved to 8:20 EST on Sunday to accommodate the KC fans to fill up Arrowhead where the Chiefs lie in wait for the Steelers who embarrassed them earlier this season in Pittsburgh. Rest assured the fan base will be good and oiled up and near riot stages for this huge game in Kansas Cit, where the field will be covered until late Sunday afternoon when the storm passes. No doubt the public is going to love the Steelers here, and according to Matt Holt, COO of CG Technology in Las Vegas, head of 7 books, this is a Pro's versus Joe's game all the way in the amount of bets tallied to date. This just in, the sharps love Kansas City and the public loves the Steelers. No surprise there for anyone who follows the :Las Vegas perspective.

Kansas City is a complete team, perhaps one of the most complete teams in the NFL left standing in terms of offensive balance, Special teams, defense, coaching and other intangibles. Andy Reid is 19-2 SU off a bye week the last 21 times that scenario occurred. There is one big elephant in the room in this game, and it pits QB Alex Smith of Kansas City against Big Ben of the Steelers, and there is no doubt Big Ben is the better QB, but how healthy is he? The Steelers running game with Bell has been devastating to opponents and the Steelers are on a roll coming in here, but how bad is Big Ben's ankle is a huge question mark. His success throwing to WR Brown and a host of other studs, is the fact he buys time my moving around in the pocket and making big plays down the field. That is a KEY in this game, because Kansas City can flat out get after a passer.

Another key is the fact Pittsburgh turns it over, and Big Ben does force the ball, and Kansas City is one of the best in the NFL with gather turnovers (33 defensive takeaways) and they thrive on this aspect. The other big intangible here, which is a huge tangible item in my opinion, is the play of Kansas City's special teams, and their return game with rookie sensation and play maker Tyreek Hill. Anytime Hill has the ball in his hands it is calling all cars alert for opposing teams because he can take it to the house on any play. Add in a Pro Bowl Punter and great kicker and KC has an advantage there as well. Also in play here is TE Travis Kelce, who is the second best TE in the NFL behind Gronk. He can line up in the slot, and is a huge issue for any defense to handle.

At days end I am siding with the sharps in this game, because their are so many small advantages that line up in Kansas City's favor here at add up to an advantage I cannot ignore, and no doubt the home field here is worth 3 points as Arrowhead is one of the toughest venues in the NFL to play in, along with Seattle. Alex Smith does not make mistakes and can manage a game, and KC has a ball hawking secondary and offer explosive plays on special teams which gets field position for a very balanced offense. While Big Ben is dangerous and has vast experience in games like this, I feel this is Kansas City's game to lose, and with an added week of prep, revenge and the better coach, I am laying the small number here, current -1 on the Las Vegas Board.

Kansas City 24 - Pittsburgh 21 - Free Play on Kansas City -1.


NFL from Tony George on a 41-19 Against the Spread run, multiple weekend cards in NFL and CBB is up and ready, come cash them all out