Tony's Free Sunday NFL Play
Minnesota vs. Carolina,
09/25/2016 13:00 EDT
Total: -110/+42 Under
Minnesota @ Carolina – Las Vegas Line Total 42
Yes, the oddsmakers have put a big number, for the NFL anyway, on the Carolina Panthers here at -7, a full touchdown favorite over the Minnesota Vikings, fresh off a great showing in their new stadium home opener against the hated Green Bay Packers. Sam Bradford actually looked like an NFL Quarterback in that game, but the worst news out of that game was Adrian Peterson was lost for the next 8 weeks minimum with a knee injury that has already been surgically repaired.
The Panthers won with ease in a score fest against the Niners last week at home but I want everyone to hold the presses a minute. The last time Carolina faced a good defense they lost to Denver to open the season and scored 20 points. The Vikings managed 17 points last week against a bad defense. Let’s do the math here for a minute. The strength of the Panthers is their defense and they will get after Sam Bradford like none other today. I am not sold on Bradford and never have been since he left Oklahoma, he likes to turn it over and hang on to the ball too long, and against this pass rush of Carolina, that is doom. Also the Vikings after 2 weeks rank 28th in total yards on offense in the NFL.
On the other side of the ball for the Vikings is a well-coached, lean and mean defense that can give any QB fits, just ask Aaron Rodgers. Cam Netwon will be held in check and without RB Stewart this week, that also opens the door to a nonproductive offense for the Panthers against this Vikings defense. The Vikings defense after 2 weeks ranks 5th in the NFL.
All in all, I can see the Vikings making a game of this and taking the 7 points with the underdog Vikes in a low scoring affair is very tempting, but I am not sure Bradford and company can put up more than 10 points here in all honesty. When looking at the Las Vegas Line value, in my opinion it is not the side play, but the Totals play and the line at 43 totals points that has value. I can easily see neither team getting past 17-20 points here and I think this will be a defensive battle from wire to wire and points at a premium.
Play the UNDER 42 Points on the Total
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