Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Week
(MLB) Cincinnati vs. Colorado, 05/13/2021 8:40 PM, Score: 8 - 13
Total: 10.50 | -119.00 Over
Result: Win
Chi Chi Gonzalez entered this season as one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball. He has lived up to that billing with a 5.97 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. 
Luis Castillo entered this year as one of the better pitchers in the National League. Castillo has not lived up to that reputation with a 6.42 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.

Neither bullpen is very good. The Reds had the worst bullpen ERA in the National League going into Wednesday. Cincinnati is short of relievers with Amir Garrett suspended. The Reds' bullpen also carries a fatigue rating after working 5 1/3 innings on Wednesday. 

Gonzalez has an 11.42 ERA in two May starts. He may not be holding a starting spot too much longer. The Reds rank second in the majors in runs and third in homers. 

Both teams have been on good Over runs. The Over is 13-6-1 in Cincinnati's last 20 games, while the Rockies have gone Over in 13 of their last 17 games.