Scott's MLB 3-Game Package
(MLB) Houston vs. San Francisco, 07/31/2021 4:05 PM, Score: 6 - 8
Money Line: -104.00 Houston (Away)
Result: Loss
6* Houston Astros Money Line -105 - The Astros opened up in the -120 range but came down as low as even money in early market activity. I am fading the line move here. Two high quality teams matched up and two high quality pitchers but Houston has been scoring runs at a much better clip since the All Star break in comparison with San Francisco. Astros averaging about 6 runs a game and Giants about 4 runs a game. Also, Giants starter Alex Wood has struggled this season against tougher lineups. When you look closely at his game by game results you'll see he has struggled quite a bit against the better teams and feasted on weaker teams. I trust veteran Zack Greinke much more in this spot and he has also has more lengthy starts over the last two months than Wood has. Working deeper into the game could be key here as both bullpens did struggle some yesterday. With the victory yesterday, Houston has won 8 of 10 games and averaged 6.7 runs per game during this 10-game stretch. San Francisco, on the other hand, has lost 4 of 7 games and was scoring an average of only 3.3 runs last 6 games before yesterday's high-scoring loss. Greinke has a 5-0 record on the road this season and has logged at least 7 innings in 4 of last 5 away from home. He is 14-3 in his career against the Giants. The Astros are 3-0 last 3 against a left-handed starter. 6* HOUSTON -105