10* Boston (7:08 ET): The Red Sox have now lost five in a row to the Yankees and are tied with them in the Wild Card race. Now both teams can make the playoffs and then face each other in the WC Game. But homefield advantage for said WC Game is still at stake plus you’ve got Toronto and Seattle both lurking not far behind, looking to steal one of the WC spots. This head to head rivalry has taken a dramatic swing in the second half of the season as the Red Sox had won 10 of the first 13 meetings. I’ll take them to avoid the sweep Sunday night as a big play.

It sure looked as if the Red Sox were headed for victory Saturday night. They led 2-1 entering the 8th, which was when disaster (for them) struck and Giancarlo Stanton hit a grand slam. Thus a perfectly good start from Nick Pivetta was wasted. The Yankees finished with only four hits for the game, but when one of them results in four runs scoring, sometimes that’s all you need. Still, you can’t help but feel the home team “should have won.”

The Yankees have won five in a row overall but so had the Red Sox coming into this series. The Sox are 49-31 at Fenway this season while averaging 5.9 runs per game. No team averages more rpg at home. Southpaw Eduardo Rodriguez has a 3.64 ERA since Aug 1. But most important of all, he has a 4-0 TSR this year vs. the Yankees. Meanwhile, I’m not that impressed by how few runs that Yankees starter Jordan Montgomery has given up recently as more often than not, he doesn’t go that deep into games. He has an 0-2 TSR vs. Baltimore this month & a 1-3 TSR vs. Boston in 2021. 10* Boston