I'm playing on CLEVELAND. The Guardians can't afford to keep losing to their lowly instate rivals. After dropping Tuesday's game, yesterday's was ppd. I expect them to bounce back this afternoon. Quantrill has a respectable 3.93 ERA and 1.282 WHIP. He's gone six or more innings in four straight starts. Mahle, on the other hand, has a poor 5.16 ERA. On the road, his ERA climbs to 6.50. He's got a 1.50 WHIP, while averaging less than five innings per road start. Cleveland already roughed up Mahle last month. He lasted only four innings; Cleveland won 10-4. With this now being a day game, note that Mahle has much worse numbers (0-3, 7.25 ERA) in the day than under the lights. The opposite is true of Quantrill as he's been stronger during the day. Cincy relievers have a 4.97 ERA on the road; Clev. relievers have a 2.24 ERA at home. Expect Clev. to bounce back, moving to 30-13 its past 43, as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.