(NBA) Dallas vs. Golden State, 05/20/2022 9:00 PM, Score: 117 - 126
Total: 214.00 | -103.00 Over
Result: Win
I'm playing Dallas/GSW OVER the total. Game 1 was relatively low-scoring as the Mavericks struggled with their shooting. The Warriors could have scored more, if they need to do so. While it remains to be seen if it'll be enough, I expect the Doncic and the Mavs to bounce back with a far better shooting performance in this one. The last time that the Mavs failed to reach triple-digits in scoring, they bounced back and scored 113 in their next game. The time before that they scored 114 the next game. As for the Warriors, they've seen the OVER go 6-2 the past eight times that they allowed 90 or fewer points in their previous game. Kerr said this of Doncic's poor Game 1 shooting: "He's too good. One game we did an excellent job defensively, but we are under no illusion that we've figured anything out. There's a good chance those shots start going in next game, so we just have to stay committed and stay aggressive and play with force and see what happens." In other words, Kerr knows his team needs to put up a big number to win this game. The OVER is still 12-5 the past 17 meetings. I'm expecting those stats to improve this evening.