NFL - Books don't arbitrarily open an NFL game up with a line of 7.5 points and this is particularly true when said favorite is off a 38-6 loss! That said, with this line now as low as a 5.5 the value has swung to the favorite. The home team got the cash in both meetings between these teams last season and the simulation report is calling for the same here. Cleveland had 20 first downs in their week one loss but they got crushed for two reasons. One was 3 turnovers and the other was because they faced a Ravens team that many feel will win the Super Bowl this season. In other words don't put too much weight into that week one loss and consider that the Bengals have won the money (ATS) in just 4 of their last 14 games. Also, Cincinnati has a rookie NFL QB making his first ever road start. Even without the normal fan element that is still no easy task for Burrow. Look for the Browns to roll in this one. Play CLEVELAND