CFB 3-PACK
(NCAAF) Troy vs. Louisiana-Monroe, 09/25/2021 8:00 PM, Score: 16 - 29
Total: 50.00 | -109.00 Under
Result: Win
#403/404 ASA PLAY ON 8* Under 50 Points – UL Monroe vs Troy, Saturday at 8:00 PM ET - We don’t see how this one gets to 50 points. Neither offense is good and Monroe’s offense is one of the worst in the nation. After 2 games vs Kentucky & Jackson State, ULM is averaging just 169 TOTAL yards per game and they’ve scored a grand total of 22 points in those 2 games. The Warhawks scored a TD @ Kentucky on their opening drive which was only 42 yards after a Kentucky turnover. They have not scored a TD since! That’s 26 straight offensive possession without a TD. Now they face one of the top defenses in the Sun Belt and we don’t see them coming alive on offense here. Troy has allowed just 33 points in 3 games this season and just 3 offensive TD’s in those games. They rank 5th in the nation allowing only 228 total yards per game on 3.8 YPP. That includes a game vs a solid Liberty offense in which they held the Flames to 21 points and barely 300 total yards. Troy should completely shut down this bad ULM offense. Can Troy score enough by themselves to get this one close to 50 total points? It doesn’t look like it. They have not been great offensively averaging 333 YPG which ranks them outside the top 100 in total offense. And that includes a game vs FCS Southern. Take that away and Troy is averaging 17 PPG on just 267 YPG. These 2 rank 87th and 104th in offensive plays per game so we don’t anticipate a fast moving game. Troy is a big favorite here (-24) and we look for them to get a lead, lean on their defense, and eat the clock. This one stays UNDER 50 points.