ASA top play on 10* Miami Heat Money Line -125 over the Boston Celtics, 8:30 PM ET - Boston is coming off a draining 7-game series over the Bucks, had to travel and have just 1 day off after playing a very short rotation against Milwaukee. The Heat have been off since Thursday the 12th and are plenty rested here. The Celtics benefitted from great 3-point shooting in their series against the Bucks who have a horrible defensive philosophy defending the 3 (and ranked 19th in the NBA in 3PT% D). The Celtics made 53 more 3’s than Milwaukee in the series. Boston isn’t going to get those wide-open looks against Miami who held the 2nd best 3PT% defense in the NBA this season at 33.9%. The C’s were an average shooting team during the regular season, ranking 15th in overall FG% and 14th in 3PT%. Miami shot 46.7% during the regular season which was 13th overall but they were the best or #1 ranked 3-point shooting team at 37.9%. Granted, the Celtics are great at defending the Arc, but they won’t hold this Heat team to 12% as they did the Bucks in Game 7. Miami is 29-12 SU at home this regular season with a +/- of +5.6PPG which is 7th best in the NBA. They’ve gone 6-0 SU at home in the postseason with an average Margin of Victory of +17PPG. This is a bad situation for Boston and a great one for Miami. Bet the Heat!