MLB 5*
(MLB) Chi Cubs vs. Detroit, 05/14/2021 7:10 PM, Score: 4 - 2
Total: 9.00 | -100.00 Over
Result: Loss
Cubs (Arrieta) @ Tigers (Skubal) 7:10 PM ET
Game# 927-928
Play On: Over 9.0 (5*)

The Tigers lefthander Tyler Skubal has seen all 5 of his starts this season go over the total, and his lofty 6.33 ERA in those outings was a major reason why. During his previous 4 starts, Skubal has surrendered an alarmingly high 9 home runs during only 16.0 innings pitched. Detroit’s bullpen has been consistently awful all since the start of the season which is evidenced by a 6.63 ERA and 1.74 WHIP as a staff. On a positive note, the Tigers have averaged 6.0 runs scored per game throughout their previous 8 outings.

The Cubs have faced 11 lefthanded starters this season and averaged a healthy 6.8 runs scored per game while doing so. Jake Arrieta has a sizable 7.54 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 3 road starts this season. That includes allowing 4 home runs allowed in just 14 1/3 innings pitched in those road appearances. The Cubs have gone under the total in each of their previous 2 games and that’s significant. Chicago has played 3-0 to the over during it last 3 following back-to-back unders, and there was a massive combined average of 14.3 runs scored per game.