Bucks @ Nets 3:30 PM ET
Play On: Bucks +2.0 (10*)

Milwaukee is coming off a narrow 86-83 win in Game 3 but failed to cover as a 3.5-point favorite. That victory improved the Bucks season win percentage to .645 and dropped Brooklyn to .666. This sets up a terrific NBA betting angle which fits perfectly into Game 4 of this Eastern Conference semifinal series.

Any NBA home team with a win percentage of .600 to .750 that scored 113 points or fewer in their previous game, versus an opponent (Nets) that’s coming off a road loss but still covered as an underdog, and they scored 111 points or fewer in that previous contest, resulted in those NBA home teams going 59-5 (92.2%) straight up since the 1993-1994 season began. This straight up betting angle takes on added significance since it back the home underdog in this contest. By the way, those home teams also went 46-14-4 ATS during those 64 games regardless of what the point-spread was. Bet on the Bucks plus the small number for a 10* Top Play.