NFL
(NFL) New Orleans vs. Washington, 10/10/2021 1:00 PM, Score: 33 - 22
Total: 43.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Washington @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET
Game# 457-458
Play On: Under 43.5 (5*)

This isn’t the same dynamic New Orleans offense that we’ve witnessed in years past. Through the first 4 weeks of the season, New Orleans is 28th in total offense, #31 in passing yards, and #19 in scoring. They have seen 3 of their first 4 contests go under the total, and its only over came in last week’s loss to the Giants and only because the contest went overtime. On a positive note, New Orleans is #11 in total defense, #5 in scoring defense, and #2 at stopping the run.

The Washington defense has been a major disappoint in the first quarter of this season. Especially when considering they were #2 in total defense a season ago and their personnel stayed pretty much intact. If there ever was a spot for them to get well it would bee this week against an underachieving Saints offense. Part of the problem defensively is they’ve been on the field for the 3rd most amount of time with only the Jags and Seahawks being worse. The Washington offensive is in the bottom 3rd of most statistical categories. They’ve been able to sustain drives which is evident by a poor 30.2% third down conversion rate with only Chicago being worse. Bet this game to go under the total.

Since 2019, Washington has played 8-0 to the under in Games 5 through 8. Those 8 contests averaged a combined 32.5 points scored per game. New Orleans is currently a 2.5-point favorite in this contest. The Saints have played 9-2 to the under in their last 11 on the road when their point-spread was +3.0 to -3.0, and that includes 4-0 under when the total was 46.0 or less. Ironically enough, those 4 contests also averaged a combined 32.5 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total.