NFL
(NFL) Buffalo vs. Kansas City, 10/10/2021 8:20 PM, Score: 38 - 20
Point Spread: 3.00 | -110.00 Buffalo (Away)
Result: Win
Bills @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET
Game# 477-478
Play On: Bills +3.0 (5*)

The Kansas City offense is once again a highly explosive unit. However, their defense has been another story. Kansas City has allowed 29 points or more in each of their first 4 games and gave up 457 yards or more 3 times. They’ll be facing a Buffalo offense that over their previous 3 games is averaging 39.3 points scored and 415 yards gained per contest. The only one that’s going to stop the Buffalo offense in this game is Buffalo, and that’s if they derail themselves with penalties or turnovers.

The Bills defense is #1 in total yards and points allowed per game during the first quarter of the NFL season. However, they have played some less than stellar quarterbacks to this point. Nevertheless, compared to the Chiefs stop unit, look for Buffalo’s defense to get enough stops at key times. Additionally, the Bills have forced 11 turnovers over their current 3-game win streak, and Kansas City has committed 7 turnovers throughout their previous 3 contests.

Since 2019, Buffalo is 13-4 straight up and 12-4-1 ATS in regular season road games. That includes 6-0-1 ATS if they were an underdog of 6.0 or less. Conversely, you may be surprised to know that Kansas City is just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 at home and lost 3 of those contests straight up. Finally, Buffalo will be playing with big time revenge stemming from a 37-24 loss at Kansas City during last season’s AFC Championship Game. Bet on Buffalo plus the small number.