Wisconsin vs. Penn State,
12/03/2016 20:00 EDT,
Score: 31 - 38
Point Spread: -2½/-110 Wisconsin
I was hoping to see this matchup this week, and low in behold I get my wish. According to my own data base matchups Wisconsin on a neutral field should be 4.5 point favorities, but on further considerations, my player to player and offensive/defensive unit correlations tell me that this could easily be a 6 point plus victory for the Badgers. Thus laying points here is a viable investment option. Note: Wisconsin QB Alex Hornibrook is said to be feeling better after a some light head trauma last week, and despite of his status being day to day, may pundits expect he will play in this big game.
HC Franklin of Penn State is 0-9 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team .750 or better win %.
PENN ST is 20-43 ATS L/63 versus good defensive teams - allowing 310 or less yards/game like Wisconsin and 8-22 ATS L/30 in road games vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game.WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games when playing on a Saturday this season
Wisconsin to cover 1 unit reg selection