Western Michigan vs. Ohio,
12/02/2016 19:00 EDT,
Score: 29 - 23
Point Spread: +19/-110 Ohio
Western Michigan still undefeated smashed Toledo last week in a DD win despite of losing the stats sheet battle, and now the College football world expects another easy win for the Bronos this week vs the Ohio Bobcats. However, I am not going to follow the party line and instead in contrarian fashion, expect the Bobbies to make a game of this MAC Championship event. It must be noted that in the past the W.Mich has covered only 1 of 5 games after a 20 point or more victory, while Ohio has covered 5 of their L/6 as DD conference dogs. Also MAC Championship games with a favorite of 7 or more points has crashed and burned 5 of the L/6 times with undefeated teams going 0-3 ATS while losing 2 times. After last weeks showdown with Toledo, Western Michigan is a precarious emotional situation, and despite of that win , as mentioned above lost the overall stats battle.
Also from a league wide CFB data base: Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points like W.Mich - after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-tier team (.800 or better record ) playing a good team (.600 to .800 ) are just 16-44 ATS since 1991 for a 73% go against conversion rate!
Play on Ohio to cover 1 unit reg selection