*10* TOTAL POWER ~ RED HOT 25-11 NHL Run!
Tampa Bay vs. St. Louis,
12/01/2016 20:00 EDT,
Score: 4 - 5
Total: -105/+5 Over
10* Over Lightning/Blues (8:05 ET): Both of these teams have been giving up goals in bunches lately, so playing the Over in a head to head matchup only seems like a natural move. In their last three games, two of which were against Columbus, the Lightning have given up a total of 14 goals. That's even with the presence of Ben Bishop in goal for two of the games. As for St. Louis, they've conceded a total of 10 goals the L3 games. Their last four games have all finished Over the total. For the year, the teams rank 19th and 20th respectively in goals allowed per game. I like the number here.
A big reason for Tampa Bay's recent woes is that they are simply giving up too many shots. They're allowing an average of 33.4 over the last five games and have gone seven straight games allowing at least 30. This makes life difficult for either Bishop or Andrei Vasilevskiy. Bishop appears to be the more likely starter here and in three games vs. Western Conference opponents this season, his save percentage is a dreadful .848. Somehow, the Under went 3-0 in those three games, but with that kind of save percentage, that trend won't last for long. The Lightning do rank 7th in the league in goals per game and third on the power play, so following B2B one-goal efforts, we should start to see a scoring increase on their side as well.
The Blues are certanly not offensively challenged either as they've scored at least three times in eight consecutive contests. As a result, most of those (6) have been wins. But even w/ Jake Allen starting in goal, they continue to give up their fair share as well. Each of the L2 games have been been 4-3 finals (both in the Blues' favor) that went beyond regulation. Last time out, Allen allowed three goals on only 21 shots. In fact, only one of the Blues' last eight games have seen less than five total goals scored. 10* Over Lightning/Blues