TNT POWER-HOUSE ~ 27-17 Overall Last 7 Days!

TNT POWER-HOUSE ~ 27-17 Overall Last 7 Days!

LA Clippers vs. Cleveland, 12/01/2016 20:00 EDT, Score: 113 - 94

Point Spread: +4½/-115 LA Clippers

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Win

8* LA Clippers (8:05 ET): Though Cleveland is off a loss here, just their second all year w/ LeBron James in the lineup, I'm going to trust my numbers here, which suggest this should be a pick em game. Yes, the Clippers have now lost three in a row, including embarrassing setbacks to both Indiana and Brooklyn. But let us not totally disregard their strong start to the season, particularly on the defensive end where they were ranked #1 in efficiency for the first several weeks (currently #2 behind Atlanta). Meanwhile, the Cavs' defense has been somewhat suspect all year, currently ranking 15th in the league. This will be just the second time this year that LA is an underdog and I had them the first time, when they went to San Antonio and won outright. Take the points.

Since LeBron returned to Cleveland, the Cavaliers have swept all four meetings w/ the Clippers. They are also a perfect 4-0 ATS. But this appears to be a better Clippers team, particularly on the defensive end. Though it's still a "bad" loss, don't be fooled by the 127 pts they allowed to Brooklyn as that game went to double OT (was a brutal beat for me, as I had the Under). After HC Doc Rivers was tossed from that game, I expect him to have his team highly motivated to end this three-game losing streak. Also, Blake Griffin will be back in the lineup after missing Tuesday's game. That's a big boost. This is also one of the few offenses that may be able to keep pace w/ Cleveland. In addition to ranking #2 in efficiency on the defensive end, the Clips are #5 in offense.

The Cavs are #3 in offensive efficiency, but #15 on defense. Despite the great SU record, they have not been a "hit" at the betting window as their 6-9-1 ATS record ranks near the bottom of the league. That can be tied to the number of points per game they are currently allowing (103.7), which is problematic when you're favored in virtually every game. My numbers say this game should basically be a pick em, so I'll take the points here as Cleveland has struggled in B2B games. They are just 11-18 ATS since LeBron returned when off a double digit loss. 8* LA Clippers

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