Kansas State vs. TCU,
12/03/2016 12:00 EDT,
Score: 30 - 6
Point Spread: +3½/-110 Kansas State
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Kansas State Wildcats have been tremendous as an underdog, and it is because they have a great coach in Bill Snyder. This is a guy who coaches his players up as well as anyone. Snyder has the coaching advantage in nearly every game. I do consider Gary Patterson a good coach as well, but this TCU team has chemistry problems.
Kansas State is a whopping 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games as an underdog. The Wildcats run the ball on more than 62% of their plays. Why is that important? It's important because weather will be a factor in this game. The forecast calls for a 90% chance of rain and half an inch or more of rain on Saturday afternoon. The wind will be 12-15 mph as well. These are conditions that favor a running team rather than a passing team like TCU.
TCU is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. I like the quotes coming out of Kansas State's players from last week's win over Kansas. They said they weren't nearly as sharp as they should be, and they are highly motivated to finish the season out in better form. Is TCU? I'm not sure. With the weather an issues and Kansas State great as an underdog, I'll take the 3.5 points. Take Kansas State.