Sacramento vs. Boston, 12/02/2016 19:30 EDT, Score: 92 - 97

Total: -110/+209 Under

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between the Sacramento Kings and the Boston Celtics.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Sacramento has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four as a road dog of 6.5 to nine points, while Boston has seen the total go UNDER the number in interestingly, eight of ten this year against poor defensive teams which allow 99-plus points per contest.

The bottom line: A good situational play in our opinion. The Kings lost in double OT to the Wizards and then had their last game postponed in Philadelphia because of moisture on the court. Sacramento will be focused and looking to take out its frustrations. Boston has lost three straight, so it’s going to be all hands on deck for the home side. We believe these determined teams will combine to play to a lower-scoring UNDER.

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