AAA’s EAST-COAST EXPRESS (+$43,000 NBA RUN CONTINUES!)
Detroit vs. Atlanta,
12/02/2016 20:00 EDT,
Score: 121 - 85
Point Spread: -3½/-110 Atlanta
This is an 8* EAST-COAST EXPRESS on the Atlanta Hawks.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Detroit is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 on the road and only 6-9 ATS vs. good offensive teams which score 99-plus points per contest, while Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more consecutive SU losses, 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 105 points or more and already a perfect 4-0 ATS against the Central Division (also 6-2 ATS in front of the home town crowd).
The bottom line: Desperation breeds motivation. Play on ATLANTA.