AAA’s SITUATIONAL ATS DESTRUCTION (OFF B2B 10* CBB WINNERS, PLAYING w/ HOUSE MONEY!)
Duquesne vs. Pittsburgh,
12/02/2016 19:00 EDT,
Score: 64 - 55
Point Spread: +15/-110 Duquesne
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Duquesne.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Duquesne is 14-8 ATS in its last 22 after allowing 80 points or more and 2-1 ATS in its last three when playing on a neutral court, while Pittsburgh is just 2-12 ATS in its last 14 after allowing 60 points or less, just 13-28 ATS in its last 41 when playing the role of favorite, only 1-8 ATS in its last nine against teams with losing records and just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 neutral court affairs.
The bottom line: We think Pittsburgh comes in complacent and the DUKES do more than enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch.