Free Pick

Free Pick

Temple vs. Navy, 12/03/2016 12:00 EDT, Score: 34 - 10

Total: -110/+60 Over

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

1st of 4 Picks for Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach in CFB Saturday - Free Pick - CFB Game #325/326 Saturday - OVER the total in Navy Midshipmen vs Temple Owls @ Noon ET Saturday in the AAC Championship @ Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD - Temple's defensive numbers look great in their past 4 games but they have faced the 4 worst teams in the AAC as all 4 of those opponents ended up going 1-7 in conference action this season. That must be factored into the equation here because the Owls are unlikely to slow down Navy's triple option attack. The Midshipmen have averaged 49 points per game their last 7 games and the Owls gave up 329 yards to a similar offense (Army) earlier this season. However, the Navy offense has been running like a well oiled machine and Temple is in for an even tougher test here. This is especially true considering that the Owls are off of facing conference lightweights Cincinnati, Connecticut, East Carolina, and Tulane. So, why the play on the over rather than taking Navy here? For one thing I love the line drop here as this total has gone from 64.5 down to a 60 as of early gameday morning. However, the big key is that Navy's defense is horrible. The Midshipmen have allowed an average of nearly 35 points per game in their last 8 games. There is no reason this game shouldn't end up being a 38-35 type game as both offenses will enjoy plenty of success in this one and the weather is expected to be quite pleasant with dry conditions in Annapolis this afternoon. The over is 5-2 in Temple's games on regular rest this season and also 3-0-1 in their 4 games where they were an underdog this year. The over is 5-0 in Navy's home games this season and they are 4-0 to the over the last 4 times they've been a home favorite of 3 points or less. Free Pick on OVER the total in the AAC Championship Game early Saturday. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

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