Contrarian Crusher

Contrarian Crusher

Baylor vs. West Virginia, 12/03/2016 15:30 EDT, Score: 21 - 24

Point Spread: +17½/-110 Baylor

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Win

Contrarian Crusher - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFB Game #307 Saturday - 8* Baylor Bears (+) @ West Virginia Mountaineers @ 3:30 ET - This is simply a case of a revenging team getting over-valued. This line was closer to just two touchdowns earlier this week but has now climbed up above the 17 mark as everyone looks for West Virginia to get revenge in a big way for last season's 62-38 loss at Baylor. While I certainly do expect the Mountaineers to get their revenge, I expect a strong effort from the Bears here as they look to finish the regular season on the right foot under interim head coach Jim Grobe who is a West Virginia native. He'll have his team ready to go here and what is being under-valued about Baylor is the fact that QB Zach Smith is off of a big game last week as he threw for nearly 400 yards with 3 TDs against just 1 pick. The West Virginia defense has honestly been atrocious in recent games. Looking at their last 4 games, the Mountaineers have given up an average of 506 yards per game even though two of those games were against the two worst offenses in the Big 12: Kansas and Iowa State. The point is that even if West Virginia does pile up big points in this game, their defense has shown no signs that would indicate that they are going to shut down a Bears offense that, even with Smith at QB, is plenty capable of moving the ball very well. It's been an ugly season for Baylor but the Bears are 8-3 SU and ATS in December games and Grobe and Company want this game badly. The Mountaineers are on a 6-11 ATS run in December games and also 6-11 ATS their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. 8* BAYLOR BEARS Saturday afternoon

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