*10* SUPER POWER ~ RED HOT 27-12 NHL Run!
Florida vs. Ottawa,
12/03/2016 19:00 EDT,
Score: 0 - 2
Money Line: +113 Ottawa
10* Ottawa (7:05 ET): This is the third consecutive home game for the Senators and thus far they are w/o a win. It's been B2B one-goal losses, first to Buffalo (5-4) and then to Philadelphia (3-2). Yet they remain in second place in a very competitive Atlantic Division, four points ahead of tonight's opponent, Florida. Looking at this line, I see a ton of value on Ottawa at 'plus money' on home ice. While two weeks ago, they did drop a game here to the Panthers, 4-1, they did so in spite of a rather massive 40-23 edge in shots. Thus, I'm calling for the Sens to gain a measure of revenge here. This is Florida's fourth consecutive road game.
Coaching changes are fairly commonplace in this league and the Panthers have already made one, firing Gerard Gallant and replacing him w/ Tom Rowe. Since beating Ottawa on 11.19, Florida has gained seven points in six games, five of which have been decided by one goal. On the road, the team has dropped 8 of 13 and is giving up an average of 30.6 shots per game. To me, the two teams here are rated fairly even, thus there's no real justification for the Panthers being favored on the road. Goaltender Roberto Luongo has been hot of late, but I do not see him maintaining that level of play.
Ottawa will likely have to go w/ Mike Condon again as Craig Anderson is still tending to his wife, who is undergoing cancer treatment. With Condon between the pipes, it appeared as if the Sens were going to win Thursday vs. the Flyers, but they blew a 2-0 lead and lost in overtime. Over the L5 games, the Sens haven't been putting many shots on goal (25.2). But for the year, they average 30.0 per game. I already mentioned the 40 they put on goal the first time they faced Florida. Again, given then relatively similar numbers we've seen from these two sides this year, I feel this matchup is mispriced. 10* Ottawa