Underdog POWER-SHOCKER ~ Jags 38-17 over Titans Last Week!
Kansas City vs. San Diego,
01/01/2017 16:25 EDT,
Score: 37 - 27
Point Spread: +5½/-105 San Diego
8* San Diego (4:25 ET): Kansas City needs to win this game and have Oakland (who is now w/o starting QB Derek Carr) lose at Denver and then they become AFC West Champs and get a 1st round playoff bye. Truth be told, that scenario unfolding is not difficult to envision. Predictably, the Chiefs are drawing a lot of public support in this spot, but I'm using this chance to stump one final time for the Chargers and complain about what has been one of the more unfortunate NFL seasons in recent memory. One could make the case that the respective paths for these teams was established back in Week 1 when KC erased a 27-6 fourth quarter deficit and beat the Bolts in overtime. Still, I think this line is just too high. Take the points.
San Diego enters the final week at 5-10 SU, but they have played much better than that record indicates. Yes, as far as season win totals are concerned, they were top Over bet at 7.0. Last week's embarrassing loss to previously winless Cleveland ensured that would be a losing proposition. But it was also all too emblematic of how this season has gone. Kicker Josh Lambo, who was previously 23 of 24 on field goal attempts inside the 50-yd line, missed TWO in the final minutes w/ a chance to tie the Browns. That loss dropped the Chargers to a hideous 1-8 SU in one-score games. This after going 3-8 SU in such contests last year! They have blown big leads (see KC Wk 1), missed clutch FG's (see last week), turned the ball over at inopportune times (vs. NO & MIA) and generally invented other ways to lose. Consider that they have led in every game this season but ONE! They've been outscored by all of THREE points for the season!
There are reasons to play against the Chiefs here as well. For a second straight week, they could be w/o top pass rusher Justin Houston. Keep in mind they're already w/o LB Derrick Johnson. One of the keys to Kansas City's success the L2 seasons has been turnover differential as they are a league best +29. Interestingly though, San Diego has nearly the same number of takeaways this year. There's a chance RB Melvin Gordon could return for the 'Bolts here. I understand KC's circumstance and SD's record, but this is still too many points for the Chiefs to be laying on the divisional road. 8* San Diego