Wise Guy

Wise Guy

Green Bay vs. Detroit, 01/01/2017 20:30 EDT, Score: 31 - 24

Point Spread: -3½/+103 Green Bay

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

Aaron Rodgers is one of the great must-win QBs in recent history. Matt Stafford is anything but. He has lost two straight games to put Detroit in must-win.

We have several great angles in each sport that tell us to listen to the emphatic statement oddsmakers are making. In professional sports (college, the unbalanced schedules make it tougher) that when a home team has much better home splits than the road team does road splits, yet the road team is still a road favorite, go with that road favorite. We have a very emphatic one that is 17-3 favoring GB. Another, less parochial one is 119-77.

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