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AAA’s 3-GAME TOTALS REPORT (w/ 10* GAME OF MONTH, +$19,000 STREAK TESTED!)

AAA’s 3-GAME TOTALS REPORT (w/ 10* GAME OF MONTH, +$19,000 STREAK TESTED!)

Dallas vs. Philadelphia, 01/01/2017 13:00 EDT, Score: 13 - 27

Total: -105/+43½ Under

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Win

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of seven road games this year and in six of nine after two or more consecutive wins, while Philadelphia has seen the total go UNDER in five of seven at home and in its last five off a win against a division rival.

The bottom line: Dallas has little to play for at this point and will simply be going through the motions. All signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

AAA Sports


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