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AAA’s 3-GAME TOTALS REPORT (w/ 10* GAME OF MONTH, +$19,000 STREAK TESTED!)

AAA’s 3-GAME TOTALS REPORT (w/ 10* GAME OF MONTH, +$19,000 STREAK TESTED!)

New England vs. Miami, 01/01/2017 13:00 EDT, Score: 35 - 14

Total: -105/+45 Under

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Loss

This is an 8* play on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS statistics:

As note that New England has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of seven road games this year and in six of nine after two or more consecutive wins, while Miami has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 13 when trying to revenge a loss against an opponent and in eight of its last 13 after two or more consecutive victories.

The bottom line: There’s no way Miami can get into a “track meet” with New England and score an upset today. The Pats No. 1 rated defense will look to close the season strong. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports


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