AAA’s 10* NFC TOTAL OF MONTH (INSANE +$19,000 NFL RUN!)
New Orleans vs. Atlanta,
01/01/2017 16:25 EDT,
Score: 32 - 38
Total: -115/+58 Under
This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:
Note that New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of six against teams with winning records and in five of eight when playing the role of underdog, while Atlanta has seen the total go UNDER in ten of its last 14 off a divisional contest and in two of three off a win against a division rival.
The bottom line: We think these two normally high-scoring teams play to more of a “chess match,” this afternoon, where field position ends up being a deciding factor. Play the UNDER.