Tulane vs. Cincinnati,
01/01/2017 19:00 EDT,
Score: 56 - 92
Total: -110/+135½ Over
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total SMASHER* The Cincinnati Bearcats have been picking up the pace of late. For the year, Cincinnati is playing almost a possession faster than last year, but the real change has been in the last few games.
A closer look at the last few games tells of the tempo change though. Cincinnati is averaging 65.6 possessions on the year, but in their last 4 games there has been an average of 75.3 possessions in regulation. The Bearcats have put up more than 90 points in 3 of those 4 games.
Last year, Tulane was more of a slow it down team. With a new coach now, they are playing faster. Tulane also gave up 1.00 points per possession on defense last year (a solid mark). This year they are allowing almost 1.10 points per possession (terrible).
Cincinnati has been piling up the points against bad defenses, and this is one of the worst they will see this year. Cincinnati scored 97 on Tulane last year, and I see them getting to 85 or higher here. This total is several points too low.
Take the over big.