Florida vs. Iowa,
01/02/2017 13:00 EDT,
Score: 30 - 3
Total: -110/+41 Under
*3 Star Play Under* The Florida Gators and Iowa Hawkeyes meet up in the Outback Bowl on Monday afternoon. Since neither team ever really thought they had a chance for bigger things, I expect both teams to be motivated for this game.
Iowa was trashed by Stanford in the Rose Bowl last year, and the Hawkeyes players desperately want to finish the season better than they did last year.
Florida ranks tenth in the nation in yards per play allowed on the year. Florida is well balanced on defense and it certainly helps that they are healthier than they have been defensively in a very long time.
Iowa started the year poorly on defense, but they played great on this side late in the year. The Hawkeyes finished the season ranked 24th in yards per play allowed in the country. In their last three games, they allowed 3.30 yards per play (Michigan), 3.05 yards per play (Illinois), and 3.19 yards per play (Nebraska).
Both of these teams rank in the bottom 30 in the country in terms of tempo. This one will be played at a very slow pace. Also, Iowa runs the ball on 60.14% of plays and Florida runs it on 50.6% of plays.
A lot of running, two solid defenses, and a slow pace. Those are all big positives when taking an under. This is a really low total, but it is low for a reason. My number here was 36.
Take the under.