*10* SUPER POWER (EARLY MONDAY!) ~ 17-8 L25 NCAAF! Off 4-2 Sunday!
Florida vs. Iowa,
01/02/2017 13:00 EDT,
Score: 30 - 3
Point Spread: +3/+101 Iowa
10* Iowa (1:00 ET): I'm not sure there should be a side more motivated to win its bowl game than Iowa. Sure, the Hawkeyes are coming off their fourth straight winning season and have been successful, generally speaking, throughout Kirk Ferentz' 18-year tenure here in Iowa City. But postseason games have not gone Ferentz's way of late as the last four have all resulted in losses. The last two were particularly humiliating as they were "doubled up" (outscored 90-44) by Tennessee and Stanford. But unlike those years, they're not being "overslotted" into a bowl spot they're unworthy of. No, here they draw a Florida team that they'll matchup w/ quite well and I like the Hawkeyes to break the bowl losing streak. Take the points.
The Hawkeyes certainly ended the regular season well w/ three straight wins and covers. That stretch began w/ a huge upset of then-unbeaten Michigan (were 3 TD underdogs and I had them), 14-13. It culminated w/ a 40-10 beatdown of Nebraska in the reg season finale. Defensively, this team provides us w/ plenty of confidence as they allow an average of just 17.9 points per game. Over the L3 games, they allowed just 23 points total. In seven of their 12 games this year, they allowed 17 pts or fewer. Those numbers are particularly inspiring when priced as the dog. The underdog role hasn't necessarily treated Iowa all that well the L3 seasons (just 5-5 ATS), but they are 6-3 ATS in games where the line is three points or less, either way.
Yes, Florida is also looking to wipe away the memory of last year's bowl experience, a horrible 41-7 loss to Michigan in the Citrus Bowl. But that was just one loss while Iowa is gunning to stop a four-game bowl skid. And, yes, this game might be taking place in the state of Florida. But so too did LY's debacle vs. the Wolverines. So that won't help the Gators. Nor will QB Austin Appleby, who was picked off three times in the SEC Championship Game and threw only 8 TD passes all year. While Iowa closed strong, Florida did not. The Gators got blown out in their final two games, first by Florida State, then by Alabama. The combined final scores there were 85-29. Florida's most impressive win was the rescheduled game vs. LSU, but that was a lucky win, more of a byproduct of bad Tigers' playcalling inside the 10-yd line. In what promises to be a relatively low-scoring affair, taking the points only seems natural. 10* Iowa