AAA’s 10* SIDE OF WEEK (89% “GOW” RUN & 18-6, 75% CBB RUN!)

AAA’s 10* SIDE OF WEEK (89% “GOW” RUN & 18-6, 75% CBB RUN!)

Troy vs. South Alabama, 01/02/2017 20:05 EDT, Score: 75 - 76

Point Spread: -1½/-105 South Alabama

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

This is a 10* SIDE OF THE WEEK on South Alabama.

REASONING: This is South Alabama’s Sun Belt Conference opener and we think it makes the most of familiar surroundings: “I think it certainly helps when you're playing your in-state rival to start conference play," USA head coach Matthew Graves said. "The added bonus to it all is that you're starting a new season. I think that's the biggest incentive in my opinion. Everybody is 0-0 and we'll lay it all out on the line Monday. From a defensive standpoint, we've identified that that's where our bread is buttered. We really need to be a defensive-focused group. We've had some extremely good moments defensively and we need to continue to improve in some areas, especially rebounding. Offensively, we've got to step up and make some shots. We're taking care of the ball better and we're taking better shots, we just have to relax and make a few open shots." The Jaguars most recently fell to Ole Miss on December 22nd, Nick Stover led the way with 17 points three 3-pointers. Troy is averaging 80.9 PPG, Jordon Varnado led the way in a victory over Chicago State last time out with a 21-point, eight rebound performance. The Trojans have won five of their last seven, but we think the team is ripe for a letdown here. Note that Troy is 0-2 ATS in its last two when playing with seven or more days rest and just 1-2 ATS in its last three as a road dog of three points or less, while South Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a home fav of six points or less and 10-7 ATS in its last 17 after allowing 80 points or more. Play on SOUTH ALABAMA.

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