Toronto vs. San Antonio,
01/03/2017 20:30 EDT,
Score: 82 - 110
Total: -110/+210½ Under
The San Antonio Spurs and the Toronto Raptors go head to head tonight in battle between top tier teams. Both team leads their divisions. Both these sides can score in bunches, but both are also defensively gifted. The Raptors own the 12th best D in the league , and are 19th in pace. Meanwhile, the Spurs rank 3rd in the league in points allowed and 27th in pace. When strong sides like this collide, and is not uncommon to see slower physical grinding affairs. in these types of tilts will more often than not result in a much lower scoring contest then lines-makers estimate based on their data.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 Spurs/Raptors - in a game involving 2 top tier teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG have seen the under go 62-20 L/82 for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.
Toronto in their L/40 road games where the total is greater than or equal to 200 have seen an average of 206.2 ppg scored which gives us value on this total. San Antonio in their L/21 with a total of 200 or more have seen an average of 207.1 ppg scored and in their L/56 as favs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a combined average of 197.9 ppg goin on the board. The last time these teams met last April a total of 197points went on the board and in their December meetings last season 191 total points were scored. I'm expecting a total combined score in the low 200s this time around.