AAA’s SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (LAY IT & CASH IT!)
Toronto vs. Washington,
01/03/2017 19:00 EDT,
Score: 5 - 6
Money Line: -150 Washington
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Washington Capitals.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant ATS trends and common sense:
The Capitals play with revenge today after falling to Toronto 4-1 last month, and note that the Leafs are just 6-8 (-2.6 units) this season after scoring four goals or more in their previous contest, while Washington is 11-5 (+3.7 units) this year in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.
The bottom line: With a very winnable game at New Jersey on Thursday to end their road trip, we think the Leafs come out a bit flat tonight and the revenge minded home side takes full advantage. Play on WASHINGTON.