Indiana vs. Detroit, 01/03/2017 19:30 EDT, Score: 121 - 116

Total: -110/+204½ Under

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Loss

This is a 10* play on the UNDER between the Indiana Pacers and the Detroit Pistons.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Indiana has seen the total go UNDER the number in all four games that it’s played this year after playing to three or more consecutive “OVERS,” while Detroit has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of 14 this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent.

The bottom line: We’re not expecting a wide open affair, but rather a lot of half-court sets while on offense. This number is just a little high, play on the UNDER.

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