*10* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Power Sports)
Cleveland vs. Golden State,
06/01/2017 21:00 EDT,
Score: 91 - 113
Total: -110/+226½ Under
10* Under Cavs/Warriors (9:05 ET): This will be the highest O/U line for any NBA Finals game in the 2000's. Both offenses rolled through conference counterparts to get here, but let's not discount how those opponents were completely outclassed. Furthermore, always underrated is the fact that the Warriors were #2 in the regular season and currently #1 in the playoffs in defensive efficiency. The gap between them and Cleveland (#3 in playoff def efficiency) is quite substantial. That said, the Cavs have clearly "turned it on" at the defensive end themselves in the postseason. They just got done holding Boston to an average of 100.4 PPG on 43.5% shooting in the ECF. The long layoff between series could likely have an effect on both teams and consider that only ONE of the previous 19 matchups between these teams (all over L3 years) has seen more total pts scored than what the oddsmakers are asking for in Game 1. Take the Under.
That lone matchup that exceeded this O/U line took place on MLK Day 2016 as the Warriors ran the Cavs out of the gym, 132-98. I wouldn't be expecting any kind of one-sided rout like that here. Cleveland did struggle to shoot against the Warriors in both reg season matchups this year, however, making only 38.9% and 35.2% of their FG attempts respectively. They were also only 21 of 69 from three-point range. Seven of the previous eight meetings here in Oakland have stayed Under the total. In their last five visits to Oracle Arena, the Cavs have shot better than 41% only one time and that was Game 5 of LY's Finals - when the Warriors did not have Draymond Green.
Neither team's total PPG for the season exceeds this O/U line. Not even Golden State, whose games average 220.2 points per game. That average has held remarkably steady here in the playoffs (220.3 PPG). This was actually one of the top Under teams in the league this year (because of all the high O/U lines) and a major reason for that was a 21-9 Under mark against the Eastern Conference. As for Cleveland, their games this season have seen an average of 217.8 PPG. There's been a slight increase here in the playoffs, but only to 220.0 per game. The O/U line was 227 for the Cavs' reg season visit here and that game (126-91 GSW win) stayed Under by double digits. Other than that, no other O/U line for any previous matchup between these two has been higher than 219.5, which was the number for the reg season meeting in Cleveland. All seven O/U lines in LY's Finals were in the 204 to 211.5 pt range. This will close as the highest O/U line for either team in these playoffs. 10* Under Cavs/Warriors