Rogers' MLB LATE SHOW >> RIDICULOUS 70-37-3 Last 27 Days!
Minnesota vs. LA Angels,
06/02/2017 22:07 EDT,
Score: 11 - 5
Total: +102/+8½ Over
The set-up: The Twins came to Anaheim on a four-game losing streak in which they had allowed a whopping 48 runs (40 in a three-game home series against the Astros) and shut down the Angels 4-2, giving Minnesota MLB's best road record at 15-5 (plus-$1222 vs. the moneyline). Albert Pujols failed in his attempt to become the ninth player in major-league history to reach 600 HRs, as the Angels fell to 2-2 on their seven-game homestand,. Playing in a division with the Astros (owners of MLB's best record at 38-16), the 28-29 Angels find themselves 11 1/2 games out of first place. Minnesota began its 10-game road trip with a win and despite a modest 27-23 record, are in a virtual tie with the Indians for first place in the AL Central.
The pitching matchup: Kyle Gibson (1-4 & 7.85 ERA) will be on the mound tonight for the Twins, opposed by the Angels' JC Ramirez (5-3 & 3.38 ERA). Gibson gave up three runs (two earned) on five hits and four walks in no-decision against Tampa Bay on Sunday. The 5 1/3 innings he pitched matched a season-high (tells you something) and he has allowed fewer than four runs in just half of his eight starts in 2017 (1.96 WHIP and .329 BAA to go along with his ugly 7.85 ERA!). Gibson has yet to defeat the Angels in six career starts, going 0-2 with a 6.21 ERA (Twins are 2-4). Ramirez is coming off second win in a row, a 5-2 victory at Miami on Saturday (allowed juts one ER over seven innings). He has worked seven innings in four of his nine outings since joining the rotation and has allowed a modest four ERs over his last three starts (20 2/3 innings for a 1.77 ERA). Ramirez has never faced Minnesota.
The pick: Gibson was once thought to be a bright spot in the organization but he posted a 5.07 ERA last season and got off to such a bad start in 2017 that he was sent to Triple-A Rochester. His recall on May 22 had more to do with Phil Hughes going on the DL and the team's bullpen imploding, than any faith in Gibson. The Angels should have little trouble getting to Gibson (plus would love to get a long look at that Minnesota bullpen). I'm also not ready to 'crown' Ramirez just yet. Make the Over an 8* play.