Sean's Free Pick

Sean's Free Pick

Houston vs. San Francisco, 10/06/2013 20:30 EDT, Score: 3 - 34

Point Spread: -5½/-110 San Francisco

Sportsbook: SBGGLOBAL

Result: Win

Higgs has not 1, but 2 Top Rated 10* Money-Bombs here on Sunday. Sean is 4-1 in his NFL 10*s

The Sunday Night (early) NFL Game of the Week is a pretty big match-up. We have the Super Bowl runner-ups at home, versus the Texans who people think have Super Bowl talent. Let’s get right to it.

So the Texans, in my eyes, have gone from a team that I thought would contend with Denver and the Bengals to be the top dogs in the AFC. Now after back to back losses, their season can very well be on the ropes because the Colts seem to be a legit playoff team showing no signs of a sophomore slump. Let’s start with the Texans QB play. Or should I say lack of, or even bone-head play of Matt Schaub. The guy cost this team a win last week. No bones about it. It won’t get any easier against another physical defense, this time on the road. It seems to me that every time Houston has to step in play against good teams, they fall flat on their faces. They gave up nearly 100 yards at home to Lynch on the ground. What is Gore going to do to these guys?

San Francisco has had their share of problems this year no doubt. You aren’t going to get any arguments from me. The defense hasn’t been as tough. The offense looks spotty at times. This line looks a little high at first glance. But they we peel away the layers. This SF team has been getting better every year. They are tough at home going 16-7-1 ATS last 24 here. Texans are 0-5 ATS their last 5 on the road.

San Francisco also has the advantage of extra time to prepare for this game. They rolled over the Rams last Thursday night and are nice and rested for this prime time affair. I am sure that they watched how Seattle came back on these guys on the road, and will exploit everything that went wrong for the Texans there. San Fran is 2-2 and now have 2 home games here. Next up is Arizona. They now they need to win every game, especially here vs a team that their division rivals have already notched a W up against.

My Final Thoughts-

I am going with SAN FRANCISCO here minus the touchdown. I think this line is right on target. The Texans are notorious for falling flat in big-games. The Niners have extra rest and prep time following an offensive and defense gem on the road. I am sure they will be ready for this huge game. And make no mistake. This is a very big game for both of these teams. I just believe that you pick the winner. And SF at home with this coach has been a winning recipe.

- Sean Higgs

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