Boston vs. Tampa Bay,
10/08/2013 20:37 EDT,
Score: 3 - 1
Total: +105/+7½ Over
*3 Star Red Sox/Rays 100% Angle Total* The Boston Red Sox are first in baseball in runs scored per game. Boston is averaging 5.27 runs per contest. Tampa Bay is fighting for their lives in this one, and the Rays lineup has been pretty good of late. Jake Peavy has a 4.27 ERA this year and Jeremy Hellickson has a 5.27 ERA on the year. These guys haven't been pitching very well late in the year, and I think this total has been set far too low for two very talented offenses. None of the games in this series has been this low. Both of these pitchers are capable of giving up a big inning, and that could us close to the total right away. Too much value here to pass up.
The over is 7-0 in Boston's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a righty. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the AL East. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a right-handed starter. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the AL East. In all, a huge 43-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.