Northwestern vs. Wisconsin, 02/01/2018 20:30 EDT, Score: 60 - 52

Point Spread: -3/-110 Wisconsin

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Loss

10* Wisconsin (8:30 ET): I've talked about this before, but outside of Purdue and Michigan State (two legit Final Four contenders), I'm not entirely sure if we can be certain anyone else in the Big 10 is any real threat. Ohio State has definitely stepped up, but I don't think for a second that the Buckeyes are going to make a deep NCAA Tourney run. The current state of things in the conference has to have both Northwestern and Wisconsin (who meet tonight) "feeling blue." Off their 1st Tournament appearance EVER, N'western came into the season ranked in the top 25. But they've been one of the bigger disappointments as they're only 13-10 SU overall and off a 47-point "effort" at Michigan. I'll be fading the Wildcats tonight.

It's almost one year to the day that N'western came here to Madison and beat Wisconsin, 66-59 as 11.5-pt dogs (happened Feb 2, 2017). The Badgers would get their revenge in the Big 10 Tournament, winning 76-48. But what's interesting here is N'western has not won in Madison, in consecutive seasons, since 1969-70! In fact, before winning two of their last three visits here, they'd dropped 14 in a row from 1997-2012. Tonight marks their third consecutive road game overall and it comes right in the middle of a "Michigan sandwich." The Wildcats will get their shot at revenge against the Wolverines (for the aformentioned loss) this Saturday. Monday saw them shoot just 38% as they failed to hold an early 19-11 lead on the road.

Wisconsin is also off a loss, although at home. It's not just one loss the Badgers are looking to bounce back from, however. They come into tonight on a three-game losing skid and are just 1-6 SU their previous 7 games. They were actually -3.5 vs. Nebraska on Monday (full disclosure: I had them), but it was not to be as the Badgers blew a double-digit 2H lead. They scored only eight points over the game's final nine minutes as the Cornhuskers threw a 1-3-1 zone at them (unlikely wrinkle). Going 16 of 31 from the FT line, including nine misses in the 2H certainly didn't help matters either. But in taking the double digit lead, the Badgers showed me they are more than capable of "holding court" against a team like Northwestern. The Wildcats are just 2-6 SU on the road (-8.5 PPG) and 1-7 SU when priced as an underdog (-13.9 PPG). 10* Wisconsin

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