Late Night POWER-SURGE ~ LEGENDARY +$69,996 NCAAB Run!
San Diego vs. Gonzaga,
02/01/2018 21:00 EDT,
Score: 59 - 69
Point Spread: -18½/-117 Gonzaga
8* Gonzaga (9:00 ET): At this time last season, Gonzaga was still unbeaten and would stay that way until the regular season finale when they lost (at home) to BYU. But, as we know, it was the second loss that stung more as it took place in the National Championship Game to North Carolina. This year's team isn't quite as good and as a result, has been flying "under the radar." They're currently ranked 14th, but I believe them to be better than that. Most computer ranking systems, as well as my own personal power rankings, have them inside the Top 10. Thus, despite being a relatively large favorite here, I believe there's some value on the Zags. They've beaten tonight's opponent, San Diego, 18 straight times here in Spokane. How about one more?
San Diego actually brings some legit credentials into this year's first of two meetings. The Toreros are #1 in the COUNTRY in defending the three-point line and hold opponents to just 39.3% shooting overall (14th). That said, they just allowed 82 pts in a win over Loyola Marymount Saturday, the most points they'd given up in regulation all season. The 89-82 win was a bit of a misleading final as they led by 23 at halftime and by 15 w/ just 80 seconds remaining. Still though, the defensive numbers have to be a concern now that they're going up against an offense that is 5th nationally in FG% (51.2) and makes more than nine three-pointers per game. Here at home, Gonzaga averages a whopping 92 PPG.
Like USD, Gonzaga dominated by more than final score indicated in their last game. The 'Zags were leading San Francisco by double digits w/ just over six minutes remaining on Saturday, but had to hold on as the Dons cut it to a three-point game. Gonzaga is now 0-5 ATS its L5 games, including a SU loss to St. Mary's, with none of the four wins coming by a margin greater than 16 points. But, their first five WCC victories did come by an average of 35 PPG. I think that the Bulldogs "get back on track" tonight and do what they usually do to San Diego - that's rout them. The last four matchups, all Gonzaga wins and covers, have been decided by 36, 22, 36 and 58 points. That's an average margin of victory of 38 points per game! 8* Gonzaga