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MLB Sun Cin/Wash ML

MLB Sun Cin/Wash ML

Washington vs. Cincinnati, 04/01/2018 16:10 EDT, Score: 6 - 5

Money Line: +138 Cincinnati

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Loss

MIT Simulator - MLB Sunday Reds vs Nationals Winner
MIT Simulator Score - Cincinnati 5.02, Washington 3.98 - Projected Margin: 1.04 - Current Money Line: +138 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of 1 run on a game with a sizable dog on the money line. Projected box-score shows Reds outhitting Nationals by 2.18 hits. Key factors noted: Chilly weather expected for this late afternoon game in Cincinnati Sunday. While the Nationals could already be looking forward to heading south to warmer weather in Atlanta, the Reds are fully focused on this game as they look to avoid the sweep. Cincinnati has another home series on deck (versus Cubs) so they won't be escaping the chilly weather just yet. The Reds have the situational edge with looking to avoid the sweep and they also have an interesting starting pitching edge you wouldn't expect. Sal Romano gets the start for Cincinnati as he had a strong camp that followed up a solid stretch late last season where he compiled a 3.17 ERA over his last 8 starts. He is confident, throwing well, and wants to make the most of this opportunity. The Nationals will have Gio Gonzalez on the mound for this series finale and he wrapped up last season with a 6.75 ERA in his last 6 starts of 2017 (2 in post-season and 4 in regular season). Gonzalez wasn't overly sharp this spring and there could be some carryover from a frustrating finish to last season. This one looks like an upset! Projected box-score shows Reds outhitting Nationals by 0.71 extra base hits. Combination of hits (including extra base hits) equating to margin of 1.04 runs in favor of underdog Cincinnati per MIT Simulator. Play: REDS


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