*10* MLB GAME OF THE WEEK (Power Sports) ~ 5-1 Start in MLB! *EARLY*!
St. Louis vs. NY Mets,
04/01/2018 13:10 EDT,
Score: 5 - 1
Money Line: -117 St. Louis
10* St. Louis (1:10 ET): I played the opener of this series (won w/ the Mets), mentioning that BOTH teams are viewed as Wild Card contenders in this year's top-heavy National League (where everyone is picking the same teams to win the three divisions). I also mentioned that the Mets might be a good 'play-on' team this year as last season's disastrous and injury-filled campaign resulted in heavy money losses to the tune of -30.2 units. It would only be natural for them to have a bounce back season at the betting window. Sure enough, the Mets didn't just win Thursday's opener, they also won Saturday (teams had Friday) off and are now looking for a sweep of the Redbirds. But, at least for one day, I'm switching course as St. Louis is favored here and for good reason.
Sunday's starting pitching matchup decidely favors the road team as Luke Weaver will get the basebal for the Cardinals. Weaver had an 8-2 team start record in '17 w/ the Cards winning all four road starts. The Mets have never faced him. Given some poor play in the field yday, Weaver best be on his 'A-Game' today. I think he will be. While his last two starts of '17 weren't good, that came on the heels of seven consecutive outings allowed 2 ER or fewer. The Cards have yet to get quality start this year, but I feel Weaver is poised to give them one. Furthermore, this is a not a team that loses three in a row very often, especially to the same opponent. The bats should get going here too as they won't be facing Noah Syndergaard or Jacob deGrom today.
When healthy, the Mets have the potential to have a top five starting rotation. But Steven Matz certainly looks to be the proverbial "weak link." He's getting the baseball today, and that's a big reason why I'm fading the home team in this spot. Matz had an awful finish to 2017 and the team won only 3 of his 13 starts, only four of which were quality ones. He had an 0-4 TSR here at Citi Field and also lost to the Cardinals at Busch Stadium after giving up five runs in only 4 1/3 IP. Over his final seven starts of last season, Matz had a 1-6 TSR w/ a 10.17 ERA and 2.083 WHIP. Needless to say, those are absolutely dreadful numbers. The Mets have not started a season 3-0 since 2012 and while they've certainly looked like the better team in the first two games of this season, I see the Cards avoiding the sweep. 10* St. Louis