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tuesday mlb

tuesday mlb

NY Yankees vs. Houston, 05/01/2018 20:10 EDT, Score: 4 - 0

Money Line: +152 NY Yankees

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

4-unit Play Take #971 New York Yankees over Houston Astros (8:10pm EST) Tuesday’s game in Houston features what I think could be the ALCS matchup come October. The Yankees and Astros are both off to great starts and they have the rosters to sustain it. Justin Verlander toes the rubber for Houston and he’s been terrific at 4-0 with a 1.36 ERA and 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. He’s fit in well with the Astros, but he’s also been very fortunate so far in 2018. Verlander is stranding a ridiculously high 95% of runners and hitters have managed just a .198 BABIP against him. Both of those numbers are going to regress heavily going forward. Verlander’s xFIP is 3.55 and I think that’s more indicative of the pitcher he is at this point in his career. Jordan Montgomery goes for the Yanks. He’s been very solid at 2-0 with a 3.76 ERA in 26.1 innings of work this season. New York won’t ask him to win the game for them. He just needs to keep them in it so the Yanks can take advantage of their strong bullpen late. The Yankees have won nine straight games (through Sunday) as well, so there’s that. Play New York in the underdog role on Tuesday.


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