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MLB Wed Tex/Cle RL

MLB Wed Tex/Cle RL

Texas vs. Cleveland, 05/02/2018 13:10 EDT, Score: 4 - 12

Point Spread: -1½/-150 Cleveland

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Win

MIT Simulator - MLB Wednesday Indians vs Rangers Run Line
MIT Simulator Score - Cleveland 5.47, Texas 2.51- Projected Margin: 2.96 - Current Price on Run Line: -150 - MIT Simulator shows Edge Factor of nearly 3 runs on game with a moderate price on the run line (-1.5 runs). Key factors noted: Avoid laying a big money line price (3 to 1 odds) by taking Cleveland on the run line. Indians must win by 2 or more but, based on large margin of victory projected, the simulation shows value in making this wager. The Rangers struggled badly to hit Trevor Bauer's breaking stuff on Monday and that is why he struck out 11 in about 6 innings of work. Texas now faces the guy, Corey Kluber, with arguably the most dominating stuff in all of the majors. The Rangers are unlikely to get much contact here at the plate and, when they do, it is likely to be weak contact. Texas entered Tuesday on a 4-7 run with 6 of the 7 defeats by 2 or more runs. Cleveland entered Tuesday on a 6-4 run and 7 of those 10 games were decided by 2 runs or more. The Indians are 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts with an average margin of victory of 3 runs per win. The Rangers are 1-4 in Matt Moore's starts and each of his 5 games have been decided by 3 or more runs. Other than strong start versus Tampa Bay, Moore has a 7.79 ERA in his other 4 starts combined. Projected box-score equating to margin of 2.96 runs in favor of Cleveland per MIT Simulator. Play: INDIANS Run Line


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