Oakland vs. Seattle, 05/03/2018 22:10 EDT, Score: 1 - 4

Point Spread: +1½/-150 Seattle

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Win

8* Run Line Seattle (10:10 ET): Please note that this is a run line play only where I'm taking the +1.5 w/ the Mariners. This seems like a reasonable price to do so given that they are at home and the first two games of the series have seen them (1) win and (2) lose by only one run. I realize that Oakland's Sean Manaea has been "lights out" so far in six starts (1.03 ERA, 0.618 WHIP), but the A's checking in as a road favorite is definitely something that needs "getting used to." Over the past seven games, the A's are averaging only 3.3 runs per game while batting a collective .203. Asking them to win by multiple runs on the road seems like a "tall order" considering it's something they've only done four times all year and never twice within the same series! Take the +1.5.

Seattle had won three straight before yday's 3-2 setback. Two of those wins came in Cleveland where they put an impressive 22 runs on the board. Then they returned home to beat the A's 6-3 in Tuesday's series opener. Last night, they wasted a quality start from James Paxton, who had 16 strikeouts in seven innings. Paxton left the team w/ a 2-0 lead, but the bullpen blew it and "the rest is history." Strikeouts have definitely been a "thing" so far this MLB season (was more strikeouts than hits in April!) and Oakland has definitely done its "best" to contribute w/ 43 in the last three games alone. That has to be "music to the ears" of tonight's starter for Seattle, Wade LeBlanc, who will be making his season debut here. In fact, this will be his 1st start since the 2016 season. This is LeBlanc's second tour of duty w/ Seattle. He made 50 relief appearances for Pittsburgh ast season.

Manaea was named the AL's Pitcher of the Month (rightly so!) after posting the lowest opponents' batting average (.134), on base percentage (.178) and OPS (.400) in all of MLB. However, if Oakland could get by Paxton in spite of 16 strikeouts, then I believe Seattle can overcome Manaea. The Mariners did lose to Manaea earlier this year, but by only a score of 2-1. They managed just two hits off him in seven innings, but I expect a better performance here now that he's fresher in their minds. Consider that Oakland has scored more than three runs in only two of Manaea's six starts. I wouldn't be confident in him maintaining his current pace either. Seattle, to me, is the better team here. So the added 1.5 runs are a luxury we may not even need. 8* Run Line Seattle (+1.5)

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