Sean's Capital One Bowl FREE PICK
Wisconsin vs. South Carolina,
01/01/2014 13:00 EDT,
Score: 24 - 34
Point Spread: -1/-110 Wisconsin
Happy New Year! Here is your FREE PICK from Sean Higgs. Always the truth and I had a losing Tuesday. Now 11-4 in bowls. Big bounce-back day ahead of us!
The Capital One Bowl features the Wisconsin Badgers (9-3) of the Big 10 squaring off versus the South Carolina Gamecocks (10-2) of the SEC. Kick-off is scheduled for New Year’s Day at 1pm. This game is being played in the Florida Citrus Bowl in Orlando. South Carolina is currently ranked #9 and the Badgers #19. Wisconsin currently sits as a 1.5 point favorite.
Let’s get right to it. The first thing I see here is the lower ‘ranked’ team giving points to the higher ‘ranked’ team. As I have stated numerous times in my game analysis, I always take special interest in this. I know the rankings are just a number, but that number gives a perceived talent and play level of a team.
We have Wisconsin, in what I think is a step-down bowl. They have played in 3 straight Rose Bowls but I don’t know how unmotivated they will be to face a tough SEC team. They know the SEC has been dominating the BCS so they will be hungry here I have no doubt about it. Badgers are also off a home loss to Penn State as 25 point favorites. Yet they are favored over a 10 win SEC team!
The Badgers are going to want to pound the ball all afternoon. They have a pair of RBs in Gordon and White who both went for over 1300 yards and 12 TDs on the ground this year. This offense is one of the best putting up 280+ yards a game over land. When you control the ball like that you also produce a top 10 defense in yards allowed. These guys can keep the Gamecocks in check.
South Carolina is by far the more athletic team on both sides of the ball. I think they have a clear edge with Steve Spurrier on the sidelines. I think Connor Shaw also rates the edge in QB play for this game. And how can we forget Jadeveon Clowney on defense? Shaw had a solid year in which he tossed just 1 INT to 21 TDs. The senior Shaw rates head and shoulders above sophomore Joel Stave for Wiscy who tossed 10 more INTs on just 50 more throws.
I just can’t get past the fact that when faced with big, bruising offenses, South Carolina couldn’t come up with a win. They lost to at Georgia (who I think is better than Wiscy with Murray at QB) and lost at Tennessee who I don’t think is.
South Carolina just 3-4 in bowl games under Spurrier. Wiscy will be looking to avenge 3 straight Rose Bowl losses. They have that bad home loss to Penn State lingering over them. The should have beaten Arizona State and were in it vs Ohio State. I will be backing the WISCONSIN BADGERS here in the Capital One Bowl and will be starting by New Year with a WINNER
~ Bury the Man. Sean