Clemson vs. Alabama, 01/07/2019 20:00 EDT, Score: 44 - 16

Point Spread: +5½/-104 Clemson

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

*3 Star Play on Clemson* The Clemson Tigers have been great in bowl games under Dabo Swinney. Swinney is at his best in the underdog role in the postseason. His teams are 7-1 ATS in this spot. Importantly, they have won six of those seven games outright. They aren't just covering by a bit, they are beating the number by a huge margin.

Clemson's defensive line is the best in the nation. Tua Tagovailoa still has an injured ankle. I don't think it is in terrible shape by any means, but with this Clemson defense it will be tested far more than normal. Additionally, Levi's Stadium is known for poor footing after rain and there has been rain recently.

Trevor Lawrence has been tremendous this year. This Alabama defense is very good, but I do think Christian Miller's injury hurts them a decent amount. Clemson has a very underrated runner in Etienne.

The public is on Alabama here, and fading the public in bowl season has been a very profitable long term strategy.

Alabama is a great team, but Clemson is stacked with talent as well. Expect a close game here.

Take Clemson.

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