Dallas vs. Minnesota,
01/11/2019 20:00 EDT,
Score: 119 - 115
Point Spread: +5/-110 Dallas
Dallas and Minnesota have played their L/3 meetings very closely with average point differential of 3.3 ppg deciding these games. My projections once again estimate a closely contested affair with road dog flashing value on the line.
DALLAS is 33-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-16 ATS versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover